Currently, 1 out of every 4 SNA's (not including NPQ's or DOR's) at Kingsville will NOT get their wings due to grades, integrity or sheer stupidity. Grades: obviously not able to maintain the standards. Integrity: Attempting to hack into the Student Control computer to change your gradesheets. Stupidity: these are some of my favorites, threatening IP's with physical violence, impregnanting one of the enlisted staff, sexual encounters with an IP's wife. Amazing how some can have a lack of common sense.
If the SNA has already been on active duty for 4 years, then he will have the option to resign from Active duty. If not, for the Marines, he will orders to MOS school for training as an Admin Officer, Supply Officer, and Motor T, usually. I did have an SNA that requested and was able to become an NFO. Combat MOS's are difficult if nearly impossible if you wash out of flight school.
For jet guys, with TBS, Flight School and the RAG, it may be almost 4 - 5 years since your commissioning that you actually become a fleet aviator. Believe it or not, up until this time, you really have not had a real fitness report (only space fillers for SNA) and haven't been to the rifle and pistol range since TBS. Now you will spend about 3 years in your fleet squadron and should expect two 6 month pumps in those years. Time for orders and your main choices are going to be FAC (80% will get this), EWS (10%), TPS (2%), flight school (5%)and another 3% for "unique orders." Unique orders like UAV's, maybe ANGLICO or possibly even school at Naval Post Graduate. These numbers do fluctuate and depends on the needs of the Marine Corps. Flight school out of your first fleet tour is rare for a jet guy but it does happen. 3 years ago, the AV8's had been grounded for nearly a year so the monitors arranged for quite a few Harrier pilots to go back to flight school to teach and keep their skills up. Needs of the Corps. The trend for jet guys is to have billets that are less then a year out of the cockpit. After those one year billets, you are almost expected to come back to the squadron and pick up your department head tour. The guys who took the one year orders and request flight school out of those orders will generally receive those orders. 10-15% of those aviators will come back to the fleet. Most will get out but this is dependent on how the airlines are hiring. Right now retention in the fleet is quite good but the economy is swinging upwards so we will see. Hope that sheds a little light, Frumby
Attack Pilot
LtCol USMCR