Just to throw it out there….I know of two IPs from K-rock just this summer that got orders back to the Hornet, one being selected for the Canadian F/A-18 exchange tour. I also know of a Harrier dude who got sent back to the fleet. I agree though that the majority of Marines that go to the training command are looking for low stress, lots of flight time and are looking to get out.
The dudes who are really screwed at getting back to their fleet jet after Meridian/K-rock are the ones who went straight to the training command after their first fleet tour. They will have to do a non-flying gig after their training command gig. The majority of those orders are 2-3 years because they will be O-4/O-4(sel) and by the time they are finished with that tour, they will have been out of their fleet jet 5+ years.
The dudes who want to get back to their fleet jet have the best chance by having a FAC/EWS (or any other 1 year DIFDEN orders) after their first fleet tour before going to the training command. The “used car salesman”, aka the Monitor, will push DIFDEN orders after the training command but politely remind him of your DIFDEN orders prior to the training command and the numerous dudes out there who are getting back to back flying gigs (I know of a handful of guys who have done 3 consecutive DIFOP orders…I have a good bro who did 3 ½ yrs first tour, went to the FRS as an IP, and got orders this summer back to a MAG).
My 2¢… Be flexible, coming out of the training command the monitor won’t write you orders to a sqd or even a MAG, but he can write you DIFOP to the Wing or MWSS and you can do a CAT 3 refresh from there. If you are a Harrier dude, ask to go to 2d MAW so you have -203 there to refresh…if you are a Hornet guy, ask for 3dMAW so you can refresh at -101. Sure, your first year on the wing staff will suck, but you’ll be current and you can network your way back down to the MAG, and maybe a squadron.
As for flight time in a Hornet or Harrier squadron … it’s squadron dependant…depends on how well Ops & Maintenance works to massage the jets, deployment cycle, and what quals you have. As for IA’s… they are still out there. It goes back to timing, and how well you fly and do your ground job, ie don't suck.
Being out of the Hornet for 3 years and then coming back and trying to become proficient again just doesn't happen...at least not really. You have nothing that anyone in the fleet wants.
I tend to disagree that a 2000 hour training command guy coming back to the Hornet after 3-4 years has nothing to offer (if he was able to get his quals during his first fleet tour) … sure, he’s not going to be the guy going to TG or WTI but he’s going to bring flight discipline and leadership. You won’t be teaching that guy how to be a wingman because he already knows how to fly and a CAT3 syllabus will get that guy back up to speed with tactics. Throw him in a 2 seat squadron and that can also mitigate any tactical deficiencies with running the radar or FLIR. That guy will be getting his section lead & div lead qual's back pretty quick. I think a squadron CO would rather have a guy like that than some second tour 500 hr guy who's coming back to the fleet with no quals/section lead only or some WSO retread O-4 (no hate there) that is truly a wingman.