Submitted 16 days prior to the deadline. The interviews were a big hold up since I'm not in the IWC and I'm stationed in a fairly remote location. I have to credit my CoC, who did a lot of heavy lifting to get me in contact with my interviewers.
At any rate, the commissioning programs page states, "In the case a waiver is required, YOU need to get YOUR application in TWO weeks before the due date OR your application will be pushed to the following board." However, Mr. Celestin's auto-reply states it should be THREE weeks. In hindsight, I should have recognized that the minimums are effectively never sufficient (as with anything).
In any case, I didn't hear anything for weeks after submitting my package so I called Mr. Celestin. He basically told me that applications are processed as they are received. I ended up giving the OCM a call last week (who confirmed that they recommended my waiver) and I got an application in processing confirmation email later that day.
I'm cautiously optimistic but fully prepared for the disappointment of finding out that my application is pushed to the next board. Unfortunately, that would complicate things as I have a PRD of June 2024, but I'll deal with that situation should it turn out that way.