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A NY Times Reporter Tries to Understand OCS...

FlyinSpy

Mongo only pawn, in game of life...
Contributor
Didn't realize it was the author of 'Freakonomics'. Its a interesting read indeed. Had a discussion about him in one of my political science stats classes regarding crime and abortion. Probably one of the better classes I took.

Minor Threadjack: It's interesting that Levitt seriously screwed up with his data, and his conclusions about abortion are unsupported:

"'Freakonomics' Abortion Research Is Faulted by a Pair of Economists"
http://online.wsj.com/public/articl...P0pDWul8rc_20061127.html?mod=tff_main_tff_top
 

skim

Teaching MIDN how to drift a BB
None
Contributor
It is an interesting theory (crime and abortion), but agree that there are way too many variables regarding crime increases or decreases.
 

QuagmireMcGuire

Kinder and Gentler

Harrier Dude

Living the dream
Absolutely, sir!

That guy wrote this article: http://repositories.cdlib.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgiarticle=1009&context=blewp

Which led to this guy saying:

"But I do know that it's true that if you wanted to reduce crime, you could -- if that were your sole purpose -- you could abort every black baby in this country, and your crime rate would go down." The former US education secretary William J. Bennet.

The link didn't work for me (probably NMCI), but wasn't he using that statement as an example of how people misuse statistics? I think that the idea was something along the lines of "Given that x% of crimes is committed by black people, then aborting all black babies would reduce crime by x%".

Taken out of context this is a horribly offensive remark, but if that context is true (and I'm not sure that was the context, just what I remember about it) then it was just an illustration of faulty logic. It would have meant the same thing if you substituted "white/hispanic/men/women/whatever".
 

raptor10

Philosoraptor
Contributor
The link didn't work for me (probably NMCI), but wasn't he using that statement as an example of how people misuse statistics? I think that the idea was something along the lines of "Given that x% of crimes is committed by black people, then aborting all black babies would reduce crime by x%".

Taken out of context this is a horribly offensive remark, but if that context is true (and I'm not sure that was the context, just what I remember about it) then it was just an illustration of faulty logic. It would have meant the same thing if you substituted "white/hispanic/men/women/whatever".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Bennett#Radio_show_comment_on_abortion
 

QuagmireMcGuire

Kinder and Gentler
Here's a link for a Washington Post article written at the time the statement was made.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/29/AR2005092902126.html

Bennett stated that he didn't agree with the argument brought forth by Levitt. But then he followed his disagreeing statement with his comments about Black babies and crime.

He could have said: "You could reduce crime if you abort every baby in this country" and easily conveyed his argument about extrapolating but that's not the case. Sorry but this guy got my gander up back when it happened and I'm still pretty annoyed about it, now.

Anyway, I apologize for my contribution to this threadjack.
 

raptor10

Philosoraptor
Contributor
Here's a link for a Washington Post article written at the time the statement was made.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/29/AR2005092902126.html

Bennett stated that he didn't agree with the argument brought forth by Levitt. But then he followed his disagreeing statement with his comments about Black babies and crime.

He could have said: "You could reduce crime if you abort every baby in this country" and easily conveyed his argument about extrapolating but that's not the case. Sorry but this guy got my gander up back when it happened and I'm still pretty annoyed about it, now.

Anyway, I apologize for my contribution to this threadjack.
He wasn't advocating eugenics, he wasn't pushing racially charged doctrine, and more importantly the statement is true... He was demonstrating how somebody can take an idea too far, and his statement proves that point far more convincingly than your suggested replacement. And to censor any sort of academic discussion for fear it may be offensive is a true thought crime.

I agree completely with his following remarks...
A thought experiment about public policy, on national radio, should not have received the condemnations it has. Anyone paying attention to this debate should be offended by those who have selectively quoted me, distorted my meaning, and taken out of context the dialogue I engaged in this week. Such distortions from 'leaders' of organizations and parties is a disgrace not only to the organizations and institutions they serve, but to the First Amendment.
 

QuagmireMcGuire

Kinder and Gentler
He wasn't advocating eugenics, he wasn't pushing racially charged doctrine, and more importantly the statement is true... He was demonstrating how somebody can take an idea too far, and his statement proves that point far more convincingly than your suggested replacement. And to censor any sort of academic discussion for fear it may be offensive is a true thought crime.

I am not convinced with his follow-up remarks. I see them as an attempt to offset the backlash experienced from his comments.

I'm thinking this conversation is best left off this forum so I'll just end with that.
 

ben4prez

Well-Known Member
pilot
Its interesting to note that in the book, neither Levitt nor Dubner in Freakonomics espouse a political ideology, merely point out what their findings were. They advocated neither for nor against abortion, just laying out their observations. And as the WSJ article points out, the research pissed off both the left and right. it may ultimately be wrong, but the numbers are intriguing nonetheless

After reading the NYT blog piece, the tone of the article -- like many of them -- seemed to be that of pure inquisition rather than criticism. Heck, every day I question the military's methods and try to determine what use they have, and if they could be improved. Sometimes I realize my initial disgruntlement was wrong, and indeed there is a method to the madness -- like going through flight school!

Its not bad to question things, just a matter of how you go about doing it. Case in point: this forum has had somewhat unfruitful discussion about Academy vs. ROTC officers. The methods used to train each are vastly different, yet the end product, for the most part, seems to pretty much be the same. Neither way is necessarily "bad," just different. But as we should always desire to improve whatever organization we belong to, sometimes that means asking tough questions and upsetting long standing shibboleths, even if the conventional wisdom frowns upon rocking the boat. Gen. Patton, Col. Boyd, Lt Col. Yingling, Adm Halsey, etc were/are all men who challenged the status quo to get something accomplished. They ruffled a lot of feather, alienated more than a few people, and upended long held rules. But that is how progress is made.

And even if Levitt was ultimately criticizing military training techniques, why do we have a (military) cultural aversion to dismiss those questions without evaluating their validity? We were quick to criticize the recent changes in Annapolis with the arrival of the new Commandant (which I think was a very valid criticism), but when challenges come from outside our fraternity we circle the wagons and automatically get very defensive.

I guess my point is, observe and orient in relation to all your life experiences, then decide and act based on everything you have accumulated. This includes things that challenge your comfort zone.
 

Steve Wilkins

Teaching pigs to dance, one pig at a time.
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
Well, the easy explanation is attention to detail. Something that you need to practice a little bit more........



......when you say that he is a New York Times reporter. A quick Google search on him came up with this:

Steven Levitt
Alvin Baum Professor of Economics
Director of the Becker Center on Chicago Price Theory


http://pricetheory.uchicago.edu/levitt/home.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Levitt
Whether he's a reporter or not is pretty much irrelevant, IMO. He's a writer. His post was equivalent to someone coming on here, posting a link to a news article, and then saying, "So what do you guys think?"
 

Flash

SEVAL/ECMO
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
Whether he's a reporter or not is pretty much irrelevant, IMO. He's a writer. His post was equivalent to someone coming on here, posting a link to a news article, and then saying, "So what do you guys think?"

Big difference between a reporter and an opinion columnist/blogger. That was my only point......
 

red_ryder

Well-Known Member
None
And even if Levitt was ultimately criticizing military training techniques, why do we have a (military) cultural aversion to dismiss those questions without evaluating their validity? We were quick to criticize the recent changes in Annapolis with the arrival of the new Commandant (which I think was a very valid criticism), but when challenges come from outside our fraternity we circle the wagons and automatically get very defensive.

The short answer is, the military is traditional and resistant to change, so some grumbling is to be expected. It's hard NOT to grumble when someone makes a judgment based on having no idea what the purposes are of these exercises.

I guess my point is, observe and orient in relation to all your life experiences, then decide and act based on everything you have accumulated. This includes things that challenge your comfort zone.

That applies to civilians too, if I had to respond directly to them I would challenge them to step outside their comfort zone and consider how something a little bit humiliating and homogenizing might turn out to be positive.
 
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