Phrog73, my bud....
the Limey's couldn't even come close to replicating their little expeditionary mission...the "grand little war" of '82.
Especially since these are gone..
Actually the Brits would probably do a much better job this time around, while they have less what they do have is qualitatively many times better than what they had 30 years ago. While the Argentinians find their capabilities much worse than where they were in '82, their most modern fighters are reworked A-4's (
A-4AR Fightinghawk's). A few Tomahawks from the Her Majesty's subs or destroyers will take care of what the Args do have really quick.
The Vulcan raids are also considered one of the more insignificant parts of the whole campaign, with only three raids resulting in a single crater on the runway, which wasn't handling fighters anyways, and a single radar temporarily disabled. Not much to show for all the effort, more the RAF waving it's flag than anything else.
The Brits can base plenty of troops and planes on the island to defend it. They can put enough ships around it to block an amphibious invasion. And they have plenty of subs to sink any Argentine warship trying to enforce a blockade - which would be an act of war by the Argentines.
They actually have about 1000 military personnel there right now, including a detachment of 4 Typhoon fighters, which can be quickly reinforced from the homeland.
This has more to do with domestic Argentine politics than anything else, just like the war in 1982. The Kirchner's have run into some serious domestic troubles because they have handled the economy in the typical Argentine fashion, with protectionism, price controls and other short-sighted populist measures mixed in with some incendiary rhetoric. What do you get with all that? An economy going down the crapper and restless natives. The solution? Pick on the evil, scheming Brits. The past result? Utter and complete failure followed by your ass getting kicked out of office. Who wants to take bets the last part happens again?