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COVID-19

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pilot
McMansions weren't really a thing back then either. 1000 sq.ft. cottages and ~1500 sq.ft. bungalows/split levels/two stories were the norm for single family dwellings. The 'burbs were a thing (I remember "subdivision" and "survey" being slang for new housing developments) but they were nothing like today's sprawl. Look at old homes in established neighborhoods- a narrow lot with just enough room between your house and the neighbors' house for a driveway, but not always enough space to fit a car and still be able to open the doors.

We've had it really, really good in the McMansion era from about 1990 to present day...

... and it just occurred to me that population sprawl is an ironic tangent to take in a thread that is about a modern day plague.
Probably depended a lot on where you lived. Both my parents and in laws bought their long term homes in the early to mid eighties. Both were in the suburbs and were 2500sqft 4bed/2.5ba homes. My dad has mentioned that because he worked for Prudential that he got a special friend price on his mortgage at 10%. However, by the end of his mortgage he was paying less in mortgage then I was paying to rent a 3bed 1500 sqft house.
 

Sam I am

Average looking, not a farmer.
pilot
Contributor
When I bought my first home during 2001 in Chesapeake, VA (3,500 ft ranch...effing huge for a couple DINKS.) we paid $189K at 7.5%. I didn't know anything about anything...just signed the paper work put in front of me by a POS loan officer from Sun Mart Mortgage. The guy literally said: "You and your wife don't qualify for this loan amount, but I can still do it if I can charge you a higher interest rate." Me: "Oakey-Dokey." <I know, I know...palm, forehead> Got smart on the back end of the transaction and quickly refi'ed at 4% and saved myself a SHIT TON. I'm still pissed at myself for being such a financial illiterate in my early 20's. The story did have a happy ending though: sold it 3 years later for $300k. All we did was put new linoleum ($500) and new carpet($3000) in it. Not a bad little investment for two kids.
 

Hozer

Jobu needs a refill!
None
Contributor
The 'burbs were a thing (I remember "subdivision" and "survey" being slang for new housing developments) but they were nothing like today's sprawl.


Great movie...Princess Leia was still hot in a girl next door kinda way...

latest
 

exNavyOffRec

Well-Known Member
I posted last Monday...

We're at 417 today, so we're roughly tracking. With bi-weekly doubling, should be at 1700 by next Monday. Then 6800 the Monday following. After that, maybe the social distancing going on now will start to impact the growth rate? Hope so.

I was also watching this, the thing that might screw up the numbers is when you talked about getting to 320 and we were at 70 I was thinking that would be 250 people dying from the date of your post until today, but it wasn't, the government was including in the numbers for the past week people that were confirmed to have died from it whether it was 1 day ago or 1 month ago, locally on the day the death was reported they were listing the age, sex, and date of actual death, the ones that died outside of the current week were anywhere from 20-35%, some were back as far as Feb.
 

wink

War Hoover NFO.
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
This just in from the FAA. New waiver.

The use of the O2 mask above FL250 when a pilot leaves his/her station has changed. Effective immediately, pilots are not required to don an O2 mask on our aircraft when one pilot leaves his/her station and the aircraft is at or below FL410. However, the regulation still requires one pilot to always wear an O2 mask whenever operating above FL410. See 14CFR,121.333(c)(2)(i)(A).
 

RedFive

Well-Known Member
pilot
None
Contributor
This just in from the FAA. New waiver.

The use of the O2 mask above FL250 when a pilot leaves his/her station has changed. Effective immediately, pilots are not required to don an O2 mask on our aircraft when one pilot leaves his/her station and the aircraft is at or below FL410. However, the regulation still requires one pilot to always wear an O2 mask whenever operating above FL410. See 14CFR,121.333(c)(2)(i)(A).
For real, or are you fucking with us?
 

RedFive

Well-Known Member
pilot
None
Contributor
I posted the below on another forum after seeing a couple of guys throw out random death rate numbers. I didn't want to be like certain other people who "have been putting out daily updates on a different forum with high accuracy every day" and not share it here...so...here's some numbers I crunched this morning while procrastinating on house projects.
-----------------------------------------------
I did some simple math based on the US and Korean numbers published here. Crunching the numbers as "per captia" results in really small numbers (10^-4 type numbers), but the interwebs said it's common to multiply by 100k for diseases because of this. These are static numbers and in no way a good predictor of anything. Infection rates (Cases per 100k) are not great numbers to look at since the amount of people tested varies wildly from country to country. I'm inclined to say the death rate is a more accurate number, but that presumes each country is reporting honestly/accurately. That said, as of right now (24MAR20) and in no particular order:

Population
Korea: 51,470,000
US: 327,200,000
Italy: 60,480,000
China: 1,386,000,000
Spain: 46,660,000
France: 66,990,000
Japan: 126,800,000
Iran: 81,160,000
Germany: 82,790,000

Total Cases
Korea: 9,037
US: 46,548
Italy: 63,927
China: 81,588
Spain: 39,673
France: 20,149
Japan: 1,140
Iran: 24,811
Germany: 31,370

Total Cases per 100,000 People
Korea: 17.557
US: 14.226
Italy: 105.699
China: 5.886
Spain: 85.025
France: 30.077
Japan: 0.899
Iran: 30.570
Germany: 37.891

Total Deaths
Korea: 120
US: 592
Italy: 6,077
China: 3,281
Spain: 2,800
France: 862
Japan: 42
Iran: 1,934
Germany: 133

Total Deaths per 100,000 People
Korea: 0.233
US: 0.18
Italy: 10.047
China: 0.236
Spain: 6.000
France: 1.286
Japan: 0.331
Iran: 2.382
Germany: 0.160

Percentage of Cases Resulting in Death
Korea: 1.327%
US: 1.271%
Italy: 9.506%
China: 4.021%
Spain: 7.057%
France: 4.278%
Japan: 3.684%
Iran: 7.794%
Germany: 0.423%

Median Age
Korea: 40.8
US: 38.2
Italy: 45.4
China: 38.4
Spain: 44.9
France: 41.2
Japan: 48
Iran: 31.3
Germany: 45.9

Yes, I was bored. But also tired of looking at sensationalized numbers in the media. Feel free to check my math.
 
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