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Fighting in Georgia

invertedflyer

500 ft. from said obstacle
A little history,

Stalin was born in Gori, Georgia.

Beat me to it.

Heres an article that offers some background on S. Ossetia and the whole situation.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7550780.stm

It seems the Russian military was quick to target strategic areas of the Georgian economy, such as the oil pipeline and their main port at Poti. Although, Saakashvili's move to re-take S. Ossetia no doubt made conflict with Russia inevitable.

pictures : http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/7549035.stm
 

Fog

Old RIOs never die: They just can't fast-erect
None
Contributor
Dale Brown wrote a book more than 12 years ago (Act of War ?) about this whole South Ossetia-Georgia-Russia thing erupting into 99% of WWIII. Of course, in Brown's book the Free World is saved by intrepid AF reservists flying FB-111A's. I've since given the book away, but it is very strangely prophetic for what's going down there now.

Note: Did quick Google search. Name of book was Chains of Command & Ukraine was the grape nation for Russia - not Georgia, although the latter gets dragged into plot by events. Just another age-related mind fart.
 

Flash

SEVAL/ECMO
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
I have to say, I'm a little skeptical of the media making Russia out to be the bad guy in this. At least wholly the offending party...this Ossetia is in the same region as Chechnya, and a lot of those people down there are not happy with each other. Some of the reports coming out of there have the Georgians allegedly killing civilians, there are some of the "ethnic cleansing" accusations going around, and if Russia really "just wanted Georgia" why didn't they do it when they were retaking Chechnya? They have the military power to do about anything they want in the region, and we won't stop them...

Georgia has enjoyed a tenuous democracy, they hopefully won't overstep their bounds trying to force their way into Nato.

I agree you you picklesuit. I'm not so sure Russia is the 'bad guy' here. It definitely sounds like they were provoked (many of the people in Southern Otessia are Russian citizens, at least according to Fox, iirc). They've also been in the area as 'peace keepers' for some tim

Also, what's the deal with Georgia trying to get into NATO? Are the Russian's opposed to this because it'd drag the EU and the US into a conflict if they ever tried to retake the area?

One of the reasons that Russia has an interest here is that there is a significant minority of ethnic Russian people living in the embattled areas. These ethnic Russians speak Russian and have ties to the motherland and are seen by Georgians as a separate and undesirable group of people. They're treated as second class citizens and their rights are oftentimes trampled upon, so it's east to understand why they want to break away from Georgia and have solicited the help of Russia.

Brett

Russia is definitely the bad guy here in this situation. Georgia is no innocent and has definitely done some provocative things over the past few months, but this is definitely a case of big bad 'Mother Russia' throwing it's weight around against a part of the former USSR that they think never should have been let go.

The fight right now is over South Ossetia, which is an integral part of the Georgian state and has only stayed nominally independent because of Russian 'peacekeepers' (using the term very loosely). The Ossetians are not ethnic Russians but are ethnically distinct from other Caucasians and Georgians, and speak a language derived from Farsi. The have historically looked to Mother Russia for protection and as an ally. They even helped the Soviets take over the short lived Georgians state after Russian revolution.

And just to make it clear, Chechnya was/is an integral part of Russia, not an independent state like Georgia. And it took the Russian 4-5 years and two wars to take it back. Really shows how far they have sunk in terms of military capability. While we will probably not intervene now, if Russia attempted to occupy Georgia completely it would probably not stand. They are probably smart enough not to do so either.

At the end of the Cold War there was fighting between the Ossetians and Georgians and the Russians stepped in and 'mediated' the conflict. Since then South Ossetia and Abkhazia have been protected and helped by the Russians, who are more than happy to keep an uppity former part of their empire in its place. It was only well after Georgia became an independent state that Russia offered passports to South Ossetians and Abkhazians, so it is very disingenuous to claim that the South Ossetians are 'Russian' citizens.

And to take Russian claims of 'ethnic cleansing' is almost laughable, I wouldn't trust a Russian official nowadays as far as I could throw them. The fact that Fox News and others report this at face value, along with 'ethnic cleansing' claims exemplifies very poor reporting. Ossetians actually forced many Georgians (Abkhazians too, who were condemned by the UN and OSCE for doing so) who were resident in South Ossetia out after the conflicts in the early 90's, and I imagine that Ossetians are not being 'cleansed' but are fleeing the very heavy fighting. I would if I were not fighting.

And to note again, Georgia is definitely some shirking violet that is completely innocent. But outside of the Baltic states, it is the most democratic of all the former Soviet republics that has had free and fair elections, and a truly democratically elected President and parliament. Their President might be a little hot-headed sometimes, but has consistently pulled his country back from the brink of going to war several times in the past few months. This is in the face of blatant Russian and South Ossetian provocations that would have been responded to by most other countries as a declaration of war.

All in all, the Georgians are on the right in this conflict. Russia has acted an aggressor, along with South Ossetia and Abkhazia, for several years and would love to put its former territory in its place, which it may do. Georgia has been a good ally in more ways than one, its troops constitute the third largest contingent of troops in Iraq now, and it is a free country on the border of one that becomes increasingly autocratic by the day.
 

OUSOONER

Crusty Shellback
pilot
Flash, if we don't assist Georgia..then how much confidence do the 'minnows' in NATO have in us if the big dogs sit by and let things like this happen?

Granted I don't know what's going on behind closed doors and Georgia isn't officially in NATO yet..but what do you think is being done by us?

Last, this will give us even MORE incentive to put the missile defense system in eastern Europe which I fear will further separate ties between us and Russia. Over the last year, with Russia going back into the Baltic, the Bear flyovers etc..etc.. it seems the Russians were ready to project to the West that they are back..and it seems they were itching for a reason to flex some muscle...could this also be a jab at the West by showing they still can be the bully on the block?
 

Flash

SEVAL/ECMO
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
Flash, if we don't assist Georgia..then how much confidence do the 'minnows' in NATO have in us if the big dogs sit by and let things like this happen?

Granted I don't know what's going on behind closed doors and Georgia isn't officially in NATO yet..but what do you think is being done by us?

Last, this will give us even MORE incentive to put the missile defense system in eastern Europe which I fear will further separate ties between us and Russia.

I doubt we assist Georgia in any big way unless the integrity of their state was at stake. Since they are not part of NATO and we don't have any formal defense treaty, there is really no obligation on our part and I doubt people will look at our commitments any less.

Germany was a big part of the reason we did not offer Georgia an official path to NATO membership earlier this year. Their recent policy has been to do as little as possible to piss off Russia recently.

The missile defense issue might be a moot point, with the change in administrations. I doubt this crisis would have much impact on that anyways.
 

bluesig1

sure thing
None
Flash I may be wrong about this, but I thought I've been reading that the Russsians were attacked first. They used an attack on peacekeepers as a reason to throw their full military power into Georgia.

Anyone see how Georgia is pulling out all their troops from Iraq, and wanting us to transport them. I wonder what Russia will think of that.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article4491866.ece


This incident kinda of reminds me of the book "The Mouse That Roared". Where the small country takes on the big country (USA). Just so they could lose and have the big country rebuild their economy. Maybe thats just me though.
 

scoober78

(HCDAW)
pilot
Contributor
A rarely, semi-insightful piece of mainstream political analysis about the events in Georgia.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/politico/20080809/pl_politico/12409;_ylt=Aig_umNzJLZ8tIkLXEMbziJsnwcF

We'll see what happens. I tend to agree with both Brett and Flash on this one though. I think its fairly clear that the Sov...I mean Russians;) (gets harder to tell everyday no?) are in the wrong on this one, although both sides have mud on their faces. That said, the though of intervention in this, perhaps even as part of a UN operation terrifies me. Ugly all day...
 

OUSOONER

Crusty Shellback
pilot
Im suprised Chechen rebels haven't been having a go at the Russians right now while they are focused on this whole Georgia thing... just to stir the pot a little more.
 

Zissou

Banned
Watching some of those A/C dropping some heavy ord in urban areas today.

Alot of innocent people are being killed. As frustrated as I get sometimes at our ROE seeing that made me proud that we dont conduct ourselves like that.

I really feel for the families unlucky enough to be caught up in the fight.
 

Junkball

"I believe in ammunition"
pilot
Course of Events

OK we all know where this is headed... everyone just needs to dig out Tom Clancy's prophecy:
grpic.jpg


Campaign starts in Georgia.

We'll soon see a squad of six Army SF soldiers descend on a wintery Red Square to take out a bunch of Russian ultra-nationalists
 

RHPF

Active Member
pilot
Contributor
Also remember that Russia was giving out passports to citizens of a foreign country (Georgia; in South Ossetia) like they were going out of style. A pretty easy way to push your influence in the region later when Georgia tries to enforce its legal boundary.

Medvedev has been trying to use that 'passport' issue to his favor now. As for his statement about defending Russian's (re: the 'peacekeepers' being killed) "wherever they may be", is laughable. He put them there as pawns to effectively extend the Russian borders into Georgia. If Georgia moves, Russia has a reason to move back. Of course keep in mind, that Russia is still fighting Georgia, in Georgian territory, over Georgian territory. I have yet to see anything that makes Russia in the right on this.

Edit:
I agree with most of what he has said (with the exception of the 100% unprovoked aspect).
 

FLYTPAY

Pro-Rec Fighter Pilot
pilot
None
Watching some of those A/C dropping some heavy ord in urban areas today.

Alot of innocent people are being killed. As frustrated as I get sometimes at our ROE seeing that made me proud that we dont conduct ourselves like that.

I really feel for the families unlucky enough to be caught up in the fight.
I don't think "collateral damage" translates into Russky.
 
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