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FY12 STA-21 Applicants

Popo Jijo

Primary Complete
Well, I analyzed past NFO data and I've come up with 22 slots for this year. Let's see how accurate that is.
I hope so. On the facebook page it shows that at least 9 people dropped a package for NFO, and those are the ones who responded. So there are going to be more. I am willing to be more then last year's 14. 22 would be an awesome number. I will cross my fingers.
 

TLCuddy86

P-3C IFT
Well I'm thinking we have to make it through another weekend for the results! Pray it's not like the 09 results, because those didn't come out till Novemeber.
 

johnnyfive

FY12 STA-21 Selectee (NFO), WINGED AVIATOR
I wonder how many NFO applicants there are? That's a great number but seems like a lot, I haven't done the research have there been that many slots for one program?
There have been 4 years since STA-21 started that have had over 20 slots. To find the number 22, I basically graphed the number of slots since the program started and then did a linear regression to get the line of best fit. Granted, the correlation coefficient is only .42 since the numbers have not been very linear but it might be a good ballpark. Maybe a couple less with the budget, etc.
 

Attachments

  • STA-21 Historical Selection Rates.pdf
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TLCuddy86

P-3C IFT
There have been 4 years since STA-21 started that have had over 20 slots. To find the number 22, I basically graphed the number of slots since the program started and then did a linear regression to get the line of best fit. Granted, the correlation coefficient is only .42 since the numbers have not been very linear but I it might be a good ballpark. Maybe a couple less with the budget, etc.
Another example on how math will save the world!
 

Popo Jijo

Primary Complete
I am just waiting for that one magical click where I refresh the NPC website and I see 309/11 FY12 STA-21 SELECTEES. Or when I refresh this thread and see that I missed 2 pages worth of post in less than 15 minutes.
 

Lui

OCS Applicant
I'm with you Popo.. Although my confidence in selection is waning with every passing day..
Confidence? Where did you find that? I could use some right now.
 
Confidence? Where did you find that? I could use some right now.
Confidence? What's that? :eek: Anyone that actually put the effort to put a complete package together and get it through their COC on time has a chance.. It's scary to sit here hitting refresh and think what minor things in the package could make it tip you over the edge one way or the other..
 
Haven't been on in a while. Good to see the conversations keeping steady. T-15 days ladies and gents until postmark! Anybody wanna start a calendar pool on the results date. I will put 100 (pennies) in the pot for the the Navy's Birthday.

-CP
I should have put some money on this one... :)
 
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