In reference to a reserve type retirement program (pays out at 57, 60, or 62), I believe that the military attracts and retains a lot of talent based on their current retirement system. Are there turds out there biding their time until 20 years? Sure, but those guys are in every walk of life. The current system is expensive, but necessary. It is also fairly predicatable and can be planned for.
As far as paying out to people with less than 20 years of service, I think it is a horrible idea. It will be tremendously expensive. Our budget is already crammed with entitlement (mandatory) spending, and this will add to the pile. If you want to know how bad it is, do a google search on US budget mandatory spending and you will see. Basically, we are going to run out of money in a few decades if it continues as it is now, and that is without all the programs that are being added to the budget every year. Eventually, as Phrog said, defense spending (and other discretionary programs) will have to take the cut. Something needs to be done, but nobody in congress wants to be "that guy" who cut program X for recipient Y. Just look at TFL and the new GI bill. Great programs, sure, but how in the hell does the govt think they are going to pay for them in the next few decades? Are we going to just shake out some more money from the tree? No, other programs will have to get cut, and defense is always (every year) on the dartboard. Believe it!
The Navy and other services have already offered early retirements (TERA) for "force shaping" (or whatever the current buzzword is) in the past, and I suspect they will continue to do so wherever neccessary. As far as guys getting nothing for walking at 19 years, so be it. That is the choice they made. If they get the boot, then they still get a severance check and VA benefits. I have never known anyone who made at least a little bit of effort fail to make it to 20 years. The only officer that I have ever seen kicked out due to failure to select was a CEC guy who chose not to go to a deploying unit.
I enlisted many years ago under redux and knew that it was the system that I was under when I would retire. I suspect that I might still be around even if redux didn't get changed (an option now instead of mandatory). I suspect if the retirement system does get changed it will either require more years of service to be vested or will be reduced benefits.
As far as paying out to people with less than 20 years of service, I think it is a horrible idea. It will be tremendously expensive. Our budget is already crammed with entitlement (mandatory) spending, and this will add to the pile. If you want to know how bad it is, do a google search on US budget mandatory spending and you will see. Basically, we are going to run out of money in a few decades if it continues as it is now, and that is without all the programs that are being added to the budget every year. Eventually, as Phrog said, defense spending (and other discretionary programs) will have to take the cut. Something needs to be done, but nobody in congress wants to be "that guy" who cut program X for recipient Y. Just look at TFL and the new GI bill. Great programs, sure, but how in the hell does the govt think they are going to pay for them in the next few decades? Are we going to just shake out some more money from the tree? No, other programs will have to get cut, and defense is always (every year) on the dartboard. Believe it!
The Navy and other services have already offered early retirements (TERA) for "force shaping" (or whatever the current buzzword is) in the past, and I suspect they will continue to do so wherever neccessary. As far as guys getting nothing for walking at 19 years, so be it. That is the choice they made. If they get the boot, then they still get a severance check and VA benefits. I have never known anyone who made at least a little bit of effort fail to make it to 20 years. The only officer that I have ever seen kicked out due to failure to select was a CEC guy who chose not to go to a deploying unit.
I enlisted many years ago under redux and knew that it was the system that I was under when I would retire. I suspect that I might still be around even if redux didn't get changed (an option now instead of mandatory). I suspect if the retirement system does get changed it will either require more years of service to be vested or will be reduced benefits.