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Proceedings - Buy Ford, not Ferrari

eddie

Working Plan B
Contributor
Seems like LCS is here to stay. 55 total planned. Sure is a lot riding on those mission modules.

How fast are those things supposed to be switch-out-able (asumming we are fighting on the far side of the world)?
 

Flash

SEVAL/ECMO
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
.....publicly, Israel alleged the Hanit's air defense systems were not turned on and fully ready due to friendly aircraft and no expectation of a ASCM threat. There was apparently also a communications breakdown between intel and the fleet, as the intel on Hezbollah possession of ASCMs did not translate to a warning to the fleet, which would have caused them to move out of visual range and increase threat warning/weapons posture.

If this is in fact true, even an AEGIS ship wouldn't have done better in that situation. Seems to me bad shipboard intel was the culprit, not the ship itself.

The point still remains, a ship that is very similarly equipped (I would say better equipped to deal with ASCM's) to the LCS's ended up with a hole in it and sailors killed from a single ASCM launched by a terrorist group. One that incorporated stealthy features and sophisticated defense systems. You have to keep in mind that intel is only a piece of the puzzle and is not an excuse for doing a poor job or failed systems. Your point about the Aegis is almost certainly inaccurate, at the very least it has much better radar to detect a threat like ASCM's even when not in a war zone.

Frankly, I see no reason a stealthy platform like LCS not operating in visual range of the coastline would be an easy target for coastal ASCMs, or even FAC/FIAC boats.

The 9 speedboat scenario is too simplistic as well. What is ROE? Can the LCS simply turn and haul ass? It goes 40+ knots with blue water capability, it can ditch FIAC boats, and FAC boats would have a difficult time tracking it out in blue water.

You need to expand your thinking a bit, you are too focused on what you think the threat might be and not what it may be. Do you honestly think that our enemies are not working overtime to defeat stealth and actively developing weapons that can defeat signature reduction features? Stealth is a tool, not a panacea. The F-117 guys assumed what you do and ended up with one shot down by a 30 year-old SAM system and the rest put in the boneyard.

And you are also making the assumption that you will have blue water available. Where is the blue water in the Persian Gulf? Or Red Sea? Geography, operational consideration and just plain luck will constrain your operating abilities constantly, any experienced military officer would know that. You also have to account for Murphy too, he often rears his ugly head when you need him least.......:eek:

And why would a lone LCS operate where we expect a high ASCM/ASUW torpedo threat? Do we send unescorted F/A-18 strikers into a highly sophisticated IADS?

Operational realities, simple as that. With the very wide proliferation of ASCM's where exactly is the LCS going to operate that is 'low-threat'? Our interests lie, and as a result the Navy largely operates in, pretty high threat environments. With the exception of Somalia our operating areas are full of countries with a wide array of sophisticated weapons, from Flankers to Exocets. And yet we are going to build a class of ships whose weapons have an effective range not much further than the cannons on the deck of the USS Constitution.

So whenever an LCS goes into a 'high-threat' environment, pretty much every time it deploys, it will have to rely on a DDG or CG for protection against 'sophisticated' threats. That is completely unrealistic, especially with the numbers of LCS's we plan to build. The CG/DDG's have better things to do, like guard the carrier and conduct their own independent ops instead of making sure a ship with a pop-gun and shipborne equivalent of a Sidewinder isn't hit by whatever Iran/North Korea/Syria/Hezbollah/China decides to throw at it.

Comparing combat aircraft to ships is apples and oranges. You are going to limit the options of planners and commanders options by so lightly arming them and requiring an escort. That is already an accepted way of operating with aircraft, and taken into account. Plus, aircraft don't operate 24x7, they go back home where they are protected. You have to work on your math too, there are much fewer ships than aircraft, on the order of 10x less.

We are hobbling ourselves by building a class of ship that will make-up 1/3 of our surface combatant fleet and will have only the most basic weapons systems to take into the high threat environments that we most often operate. It is fundamentally flawed strategy that will come back and bite us in the ass sooner rather than later, and I fear it will cost lives.
 

phrogpilot73

Well-Known Member
These ships can put a company-size element ashore and patrol the coastline.
What happens when a company turns out to be not big enough? How far away are other forces?

I'm gonna guess this guy's background has NOTHING to do with amphibious ops, because with the current ARG/ESG construct - you can have an LPD just offshore with a company, and a mix of aircraft. But if the shit hits the fan, the big deck amphib and all the other ships are just over the horizon and you can reinforce that company quickly.

Unless they can be reinforced quickly, a company size element is worthless.
 

ghost

working, working, working ...
pilot
Every combatant ship in the Navy should be a self-sufficient weapon system, not reliant on other ships to protect it.

Exactly. Why make a ship that has to depend on another for it's basic survival.

So that is why CVNs and LHA/LHDs go out alone all the time? How much native ASW or ASCM capabilities do they posses?

LCS is a replacement for FFGs. FFGs' only weapons are a 76mm gun and CIWS. No missiles. Why does its replacement need SM-3? How good is SM-3 against ASCM coming in at 25' and M2.5? How far out can you detect the ASSM? The limiting factors are the heights of the missile (how high again?) and your antenna. SEARAM is a replacement for CIWS. The shoes are allowed to update their weapon systems from time to time too.

Not every ship we build needs to be a DDG/CG with AEGIS and TLAMs. There is a huge range of missions the navy does that DDG/CGs do not perform well. Besides ... have you guys seen the flight deck on LCS-2? It is over half the ship with room for 2 60s to land at once.
 

Uncle Fester

Robot Pimp
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
...FFGs' only weapons are a 76mm gun and CIWS. No missiles...

Frigates only have the 76 gun and CIWS now, but they carried SM-1 up until just a few years ago. Remember that they were originally designed to be a cheap convoy escort that we could build in big numbers against the day it finally went off against the Soviets, and air defense was a major part of their mission. Because for what they're mostly doing now (VBSS, inshore work) it wasn't considered worth the cost of continuing to build SM-1's or upgrading them to carry SM-2/3 and integrate them into AEGIS.

By the way, where did this "LCS" bullshit come from, anyway? They're frigates or destroyer escorts, if you want to be old-school about it. You can call it LCS for a developmental program, but not the actual designation. I thought Shoes were supposed to be all about tradition.
 

nittany03

Recovering NFO. Herder of Programmers.
pilot
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
By the way, where did this "LCS" bullshit come from, anyway? They're frigates or destroyer escorts, if you want to be old-school about it. You can call it LCS for a developmental program, but not the actual designation. I thought Shoes were supposed to be all about tradition.
The children of the people who called cruisers "destroyer leaders" and "frigates," apparently. :icon_tong
 

Hozer

Jobu needs a refill!
None
Contributor
FFGs' only weapons are a 76mm gun and CIWS. No missiles.

Recommend looking at the Aussie FFG-7's. SM-2 retrofitted to the Mk13 launcher.

Put a decent radar on it and viola!

So that is why CVNs and LHA/LHDs go out alone all the time? How much native ASW or ASCM capabilities do they posses?

They used too. America and Kennedy had sonar domes.
It can be done and relatively cheaply. SSDS is badass against most ASCMs with outstanding growth prospects.
 

Hozer

Jobu needs a refill!
None
Contributor
Not every ship we build needs to be a DDG/CG with AEGIS and TLAMs. There is a huge range of missions the navy does that DDG/CGs do not perform well. Besides ... have you guys seen the flight deck on LCS-2? It is over half the ship with room for 2 60s to land at once.

DBR is going to be cheaper and lighter than AEGIS, with similar fidelity including the littorals.

I disagree about the every ship needs to be a DDG. Every combatant needs to be at least an FFG.

With SSDS and CEC it's more important and cost effective than ever over the lifespan of a warship to incorporate those systems at the outset.
 

Flash

SEVAL/ECMO
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
So that is why CVNs and LHA/LHDs go out alone all the time? How much native ASW or ASCM capabilities do they posses?

CVN's rarely go into combat zones alone, their escort is usually close by. And while LHA/LHD's might do so more of often if they were moving into a higher threat area they will more often than not get an escort. We can't forget their air wings either, providing a lot more firepower than a pair of UAV's and SH-60's ever can hope to do so.

LCS is a replacement for FFGs. FFGs' only weapons are a 76mm gun and CIWS. No missiles. Why does its replacement need SM-3?

I never said it needed SM-3's, which are actually optimized for BMD vice the regular SAM/SSM mission like the SM-2 anyways. There are several newer FFG/FFL's out there that are equipped with very capable weapons suites as well as having a lot of the flexibility of the LCS. They include the Danish Absalon class, the Norwegian Fridtjof Nansen class, the Dutch De Zeven Provincien Class and the German MEKO class ships that include the Turkish Milgem class and the South African Valour class. Again, each of the FFG/FFL's I cited have much of the flexibility that the LCS has but a more comprehensive and robust weapons suite. All of them have a VLS or can be equipped with one and many utilize everything from SM-2's to the Evolved Sea Sparrow Missile (ESSM) that provide much better coverage and capability than a RAM or other last ditch weapon system.

SEARAM is a replacement for CIWS.

And the CIWS is a last ditch weapon system for when all the other layers of your defense have failed to destroy a threat. Relying on a last-ditch weapon system as your sole defense is just plain stupid.

Not every ship we build needs to be a DDG/CG with AEGIS and TLAMs. There is a huge range of missions the navy does that DDG/CGs do not perform well. Besides ... have you guys seen the flight deck on LCS-2? It is over half the ship with room for 2 60s to land at once.

No, like I pointed out above their are planty of other options that are out there instead of the LCS that are better armed and equipped to handle a wide range of threats while being much cheaper and more flexible than a DDG or CG.

Besides ... have you guys seen the flight deck on LCS-2? It is over half the ship with room for 2 60s to land at once.

That big 'ol flight deck ain't going to do you much good underwater.
 

BigRed389

Registered User
None
The point still remains, a ship that is very similarly equipped (I would say better equipped to deal with ASCM's) to the LCS's ended up with a hole in it and sailors killed from a single ASCM launched by a terrorist group. One that incorporated stealthy features and sophisticated defense systems. You have to keep in mind that intel is only a piece of the puzzle and is not an excuse for doing a poor job or failed systems. Your point about the Aegis is almost certainly inaccurate, at the very least it has much better radar to detect a threat like ASCM's even when not in a war zone.

Ask any AEGIS background SWO, particularly one with SPY background, and ask him what SPY's weaknesses are.
Also, ship's weapons posture plays a big role for even automated systems like AEGIS. HANIT had air defense systems in a 2 minute standby after a JO decided to take down the radar and components of the defense system. Intel lead to bad decisions...in this case it is rather obvious how it was the primary contributor to the disaster.

They also didn't get the intel warning of coastal C-802s, so they were engaged by a probably visually cued ASCM.
Low flying ASCMs are also the bane of surface ships worldwide...radar horizon limitations combined with high speed/low altitude means reaction times essentially limit you to point defense engagements for certain threats...long range SAMs or no.


You need to expand your thinking a bit, you are too focused on what you think the threat might be and not what it may be. Do you honestly think that our enemies are not working overtime to defeat stealth and actively developing weapons that can defeat signature reduction features? Stealth is a tool, not a panacea. The F-117 guys assumed what you do and ended up with one shot down by a 30 year-old SAM system and the rest put in the boneyard.

In the littorals, stealth is almost a joke. Any yahoo in a fishing boat can pick up a radio or phone to call his Hezbollah buddies and give them your location. FAC/FIAC threats have poor fire control systems which limit them to visual range engagements anyway...also why they use swarm tactics.
Hence the emphasis on LCS speed. 40+ knots may not sound like much relative to the 30kt DDGs, but it's also more maneuverable, and capable of actually using that speed in shallower waters. For USN FAC/FIAC counter tactics, speed helps...a LOT.


Operational realities, simple as that. With the very wide proliferation of ASCM's where exactly is the LCS going to operate that is 'low-threat'? Our interests lie, and as a result the Navy largely operates in, pretty high threat environments. With the exception of Somalia our operating areas are full of countries with a wide array of sophisticated weapons, from Flankers to Exocets. And yet we are going to build a class of ships whose weapons have an effective range not much further than the cannons on the deck of the USS Constitution.

OK, you're arguing China/North Korea/Iran.
I'm arguing: Somalia (piracy), OPLAT defense, Counter Narcotics. That's current ops today. Then there's the potential of piracy elswhere, and God knows what else. It also offers flexibility as a SOF support platform.
These are missions we do now, and could easily do again in the future. As the FFGs fade out, why waste a DDG doing these missions?


So whenever an LCS goes into a 'high-threat' environment, pretty much every time it deploys, it will have to rely on a DDG or CG for protection against 'sophisticated' threats. That is completely unrealistic, especially with the numbers of LCS's we plan to build. The CG/DDG's have better things to do, like guard the carrier and conduct their own independent ops instead of making sure a ship with a pop-gun and shipborne equivalent of a Sidewinder isn't hit by whatever Iran/North Korea/Syria/Hezbollah/China decides to throw at it.

It's not a drain on resources if you conduct strike group integration. SAGs can operate with FFGs...the same situation applies. The point is every ship brings something it does well to the fight. If there's a mine threat or littoral ASW threat, I'm not sending my valuable DDG/CG into the littorals where it's sensors are hampered. That's what the low cost LCS is for, and it can still operate within coverage of the AEGIS ship's defenses...some of those SMs have pretty long reach...in fact, they're really optimized for area air defense, not point defense, anyway due to missile flight profiles.

Also, maybe it's inevitable aviators will focus on the air threat, but surface ships unfortunately have to worry about every fucking threat out there. Surface attacks can range from FAC/FIAC swarms to ASCM packing DDGs. ASW continues to be a difficult warfare area, and is one the DDGs and CGs are particularly weak in in the littorals. MIW is something we as a Navy pretty much suck at, and is something any banana republic can easily employ.



We are hobbling ourselves by building a class of ship that will make-up 1/3 of our surface combatant fleet and will have only the most basic weapons systems to take into the high threat environments that we most often operate. It is fundamentally flawed strategy that will come back and bite us in the ass sooner rather than later, and I fear it will cost lives.

If you just look at base weaponry, yes, it's not very well armed. Factor in the mission packages, and you see that it offers capabilities not offered by any other asset out there in individual warfare areas. LCS is an effort to regain lost ground in warfare areas that have gone neglected, steps in another direction if you will. We're trying an RMA, not just incrementally improving existing technologies.
I will grant you that maybe from a procurement reality perspective it's not too smart to invest in the ship before the mission packages are proven, but that's where the concept is being driven from.

.
 

BigRed389

Registered User
None
Recommend looking at the Aussie FFG-7's. SM-2 retrofitted to the Mk13 launcher.

Put a decent radar on it and viola!



They used too. America and Kennedy had sonar domes.
It can be done and relatively cheaply. SSDS is badass against most ASCMs with outstanding growth prospects.

If we know it's operating in the littorals you don't even need mongo power radars. You need a system with good resolution that can distinguish from all the crap returns from clutter, low search times, set up a track QUICKLY, and run your DTE sequence quickly enough to engage before it does become a point defense situation.

Sonar domes on a carrier are about as practical as tits on a boar. Even IF you got past the ship's self noise, and assuming the sub is operating where it "doesn't want to be if it doesn't want you to hear it but wants to be stupid" what is the carrier going to engage it with?
If the carrier's sonar dome is hearing something an escort's towed array isn't, the carrier should have died a long time ago.

What's the difference between SSDS and AEGIS...and what leads you to believe LCS's point defense systems aren't optimized for rapid engagement as well?

DBR isn't lighter than "AEGIS," AEGIS is the entire combat systems suite, you mean it's lighter than SPY.
Also, DBR is the radar projected for the DDG 1000, which you just criticized as having poor littoral radar capability. So now I'm not sure if you're saying the DDG 1000 is a good thing, or a bad thing.

And what sort of FFG do you want? Please don't tell me a "Euro frigate" because those things are pretty much DDGs in all but name. What warfare capabilities do you want to assign it, and what systems do you plan to accomplish that goal?
 

BigRed389

Registered User
None
And the CIWS is a last ditch weapon system for when all the other layers of your defense have failed to destroy a threat. Relying on a last-ditch weapon system as your sole defense is just plain stupid.

How about an acknowledgment of the environment it's designed to operate in? The primary limitation of littoral air defense, as per NWPs/NTTPs/and plain common sense is reduced decision making time. Again, a high speed, low flying ASCM doesn't give you much warning, particularly if you're operating a surface based radar trying to pick out a low RCS object out from land mass terrain clutter, build a track, compute engagement, and receive fire order.

No, like I pointed out above their are planty of other options that are out there instead of the LCS that are better armed and equipped to handle a wide range of threats while being much cheaper and more flexible than a DDG or CG.

I'd love to know how they're more flexible than a CG. CGs are expensive, but with the exception of littoral operations, they're excellent in what they do...they're no frills, no compromise designs. They do as well or better than DDGs in everything from BMD, area/self air-defense, SUW, NFGS, Strike, ASW, etc.
And again, none of them are really revolutionary designs. Take a DDG, make it smaller, cut down on weapons/sensors to fit the smaller size, make it slower, in some cases sacrifice certain capabilities altogether, and you have a Euro frigate. I will admit, from what I saw, their application of modern control interfaces and displays is very nice...not sure how "hardened" some of their electronics are, but some are much better human interfaces than the stuff we use.


That big 'ol flight deck ain't going to do you much good underwater.

The Euro frigate doesn't do much of anything either after it gets hit by a mine...or eats a torpedo from a Type 209/Kilo.

.
 

Flash

SEVAL/ECMO
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
HANIT had air defense systems in a 2 minute standby……Intel led to bad decisions...in this case it is rather obvious how it was the primary contributor to the disaster. They also didn't get the intel warning of coastal C-802s, so they were engaged by a probably visually cued ASCM.

They all screwed up, the SWO’s included. To point solely to intel is lazy and a cop out, especially on the part of the Israelis. You also need to learn a lot more about the engagement, your knowledges are incomplete.

OK, you're arguing China/North Korea/Iran. I'm arguing: Somalia (piracy), OPLAT defense, Counter Narcotics. That's current ops today. It also offers flexibility as a SOF support platform. These are missions we do now, and could easily do again in the future.

Why build a ship that can only handle those missions? An FFG/FFL can do them just as good as well as fight a conventional battle. If you want a ship to utilize on just those missions why don’t we take A4’s suggestion and take the big gun DD’s of the past out of the boneyard, if there are any left.

It's not a drain on resources if you conduct strike group integration……..it can still operate within coverage of the AEGIS ship's defenses...some of those SMs have pretty long reach...in fact, they're really optimized for area air defense, not point defense, anyway due to missile flight profiles…….Also, maybe it's inevitable aviators will focus on the air threat, but surface ships unfortunately have to worry about every fucking threat out there.

I wouldn’t want to rely on someone over the rainbow to handle threats for me, no matter how capable. And don’t be too presumptuous, I know a lot more than you realize about the current threats out there to US forces, including the ones you SWO’s worry about, or at least should.

If you just look at base weaponry, yes, it's not very well armed. Factor in the mission packages…….I will grant you that maybe from a procurement reality perspective it's not too smart to invest in the ship before the mission packages are proven, but that's where the concept is being driven from.

With the recent record of integration problems we have had on all kinds of weapons system that would be putting the cart before horse, not a very good idea at all.

And what sort of FFG do you want? Please don't tell me a "Euro frigate" because those things are pretty much DDGs in all but name......I'd love to know how they're more flexible than a CG……And again, none of them are really revolutionary designs. Take a DDG, make it smaller, cut down on weapons/sensors to fit the smaller size, make it slower, in some cases sacrifice certain capabilities altogether, and you have a Euro frigate. I will admit, from what I saw, their application of modern control interfaces and displays is very nice...not sure how "hardened" some of their electronics are, but some are much better human interfaces than the stuff we use.

A Euro FFG/FFL would be a heckuva lot better than an LCS, at least they would be a good start. You don’t need a revolutionary design, you just need something that works. So what if they are cheaper and less capable versions of CG/DDG? Isn’t that what an FFG is? How is that a bad thing? At least they bring something more significant to the fight. As for being more flexible, an excellent example would be the Absalon and its ‘flex’ deck that can carry anything from tanks, a hospital, SOF to a command center. It sounds an awful lot like the LCS but with a much bigger bite. What the heck is wrong with that?
 

FlyinSpy

Mongo only pawn, in game of life...
Contributor
Intel led to bad decisions.

Kijinnmaru-inconceivable.jpg
 
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