You lost me at “geometry.”Geometry remains a problem. As ASCM's have gained in capability and proliferation they've also gained in range to a point where aircraft or ships can launch them from relative safety from a target much like they did in Red Storm Rising, where the Backfires only suffered at the hands of defending carrier aircraft (Aéronavale F-8's) and not the ships of the battle group.
Simply put, a carrier battle/strike group cannot effectively operate in a contested environment without AEW.