Happened to reread this article in The Atlantic about Peter Turchin and his thesis on the over-production of elites causes societal instability. Has anyone read
Ages of Discord or any of the author’s other books?
THE NEXT DECADE COULD BE EVEN WORSE
A historian believes he has discovered iron laws that predict the rise and fall of societies. He has bad news.
A historian believes he has discovered iron laws that predict the rise and fall of societies. He has bad news.
www.theatlantic.com
Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History
Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History [Turchin, Peter] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History
www.amazon.com
Historical analysis shows that long spells of equitable prosperity and internal peace are succeeded by protracted periods of inequity, increasing misery, and political instability. These crisis periods—“Ages of Discord”—have recurred in societies throughout history. Modern Americans may be disconcerted to learn that the US right now has much in common with the Antebellum 1850s and, more surprisingly, with ancien régime France on the eve of the French Revolution. Can it really be true that there is nothing new about our troubled time, and that similar ages arise periodically for similar underlying reasons? Ages of Discord marshals Structural-Demograpic Theory and detailed historical data to show that this is, indeed, the case.