I didn’t realize debunking Putin’s supposed genius
Maybe we are saying different things, and we can meet in the middle.
I do not assume Putin is a genius. I know for a fact he is shrewd and conniving.
I do not assume that Putin or other Russian leaders planned, predicted, or orchestrated the events in N-K. I do believe that Putin as well as Russian military commanders have a knee-jerk doctrine and loose CONOPS for taking advantage of situations as they unfold, and reacting quickly to secure their interests in the Russian periphery.
What they lack in military dominance they make up for in initiative, resource efficiency, and a willingness to bend the rules/LOAC to achieve their desired end states (ex.: little green men commandeering the car ferry across the Kerch Strait in 2014 to rapidly surprise and overtake the garrisons in Crimea).