COVID-19

[SlickAg]

Houston is expecting to exceed intensive care capacity today. They're saying they have <10 days before they reach surge capacity. It's unfortunate that this could have potentially been avoided if this had been taken seriously from the beginning.

“Dr. Marc Boom, of Houston Methodist, said those numbers don’t fully tell the capacity story.

“Just that number is being misinterpreted and, quite frankly, we’re concerned that there is a level of alarm in the community that is unwarranted right now,” Boom said.”

Leaders of Houston’s 4 largest hospitals say capacity is in good shape as coronavirus cases increase

Leaders from the four largest hospital systems in Houston said Thursday that they are in good shape to handle a surge of coronavirus patients if it happens.

www.click2houston.com

 

[Spekkio]

Is there a rational explanation why MA, VA, MD, CA, IL, MI, etc were left off the list? They all have high virus populations as well. Not to mention, why are they not preventing people from going from CT to NJ and vice versa? Both states have high rates. Really dumb all around. If someone has a valid reason to travel from CT to NJ, who is to say they don’t have the same valid reason if coming from FL?

Because they're going by trends and positive test rates not the overall population infection rate.

Also if you've ever been to the NYC metro area you would know that people routinely live and work in different states. There are millions of people who have a business reason to go between northern NJ and southwestern CT. Not so much with FL.

Again, I'm not advocating for COVID restrictions, but these aren't based on political gamesmanship.

 

[Gonzo08]

“Dr. Marc Boom, of Houston Methodist, said those numbers don’t fully tell the capacity story.

“Just that number is being misinterpreted and, quite frankly, we’re concerned that there is a level of alarm in the community that is unwarranted right now,” Boom said.”

Leaders of Houston’s 4 largest hospitals say capacity is in good shape as coronavirus cases increase

Leaders from the four largest hospital systems in Houston said Thursday that they are in good shape to handle a surge of coronavirus patients if it happens.

www.click2houston.com

You were saying...?

 

[SlickAg]

You were saying...?

Read the thread.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1276168180893876232

 

[Gonzo08]

Read the thread.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1276168180893876232

I feel like that they're still acknowledging that their normal intensive care capacity is at 100%. Surge capacity is there for now, but there's nothing that can be done today that will reduce the number of cases that will develop over the next 10-12 days when surge capacity is expected to be exceeded.

 

[SlickAg]

I feel like that they're still acknowledging that their normal intensive care capacity is at 100%. Surge capacity is there for now, but there's nothing that can be done today that will reduce the number of cases that will develop over the next 10-12 days when surge capacity is expected to be exceeded.

I don’t think that the same rules we’ve used before will apply; hospitalizations are up but they’re saying the cases aren’t as bad, which means they will probably be less fatal than before. This could be for several reasons: attenuation of the virus, lower average age of the patients, etc. If this is the case, the same models won’t necessarily apply here.

I’m more interested in the reason why the surge is happening now. Will be interesting to see what the super spreader events were deemed to be, and how the city and county governments respond.

 

[Jim123]

I feel like that they're still acknowledging that their normal intensive care capacity is at 100%. Surge capacity is there for now, but there's nothing that can be done today that will reduce the number of cases that will develop over the next 10-12 days when surge capacity is expected to be exceeded.

They'll have to farm out ICU patients to neighboring districts, which is a normal contingency in any regional disaster plan. (Normal to plan for it, not necessarily normal to have to execute that part of the plan.)

I'm interested in the epidemiological forensics of this surge, what @SlickAg just mentioned in his post right above me.

 

[Treetop Flyer]

I feel like that they're still acknowledging that their normal intensive care capacity is at 100%. Surge capacity is there for now, but there's nothing that can be done today that will reduce the number of cases that will develop over the next 10-12 days when surge capacity is expected to be exceeded.

Normal ICU capacity reached, with about 15% of that due to COVID, although it’s unclear if it’s due to COVID or with COVID.

 

[Jim123]

I don't speak reservist anymore, only retiree. I'm quietly smiling in retiree.

 

[taxi1]

Florida is killing it, exponential growth-wise. Impressive.

Florida is reporting 8,942 new covid-19 cases on Friday, blowing past its single-day high of 5,511 set on Wednesday. It is the 19th day in a row the state has hit a new average high. Average cases are now up about 77 percent from a week ago, and 526 percent since Memorial Day.

 

[Jim123]

Nitpick- it's not exponential growth, it's a Gompertz Function.

But "exponential" is a word that sounds sciency enough and is vaguely familiar to the masses while being not too difficult for the talking heads to pronounce.

At least we're not watering crops with Gatorade (yet).

 

[RobLyman]

Nitpick- it's not exponential growth, it's a Gompertz Function.

But "exponential" is a word that sounds sciency enough and is vaguely familiar to the masses while being not too difficult for the talking heads to pronounce.

At least we're not watering crops with Gatorade (yet).

It's not Gatorade, it's Brawndo. It has electrolytes. It's what plants crave.

 

[SlickAg]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1276494896132534277

 

[johnboyA6E]

hard to establish a trend with national data,
this is good look at the trend per state with tags for close down events and opening events. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/state-timeline/new-confirmed-cases/georgia

georgia for example peaked in mid april, started opening in late april till early may. kept declining till early-mid june then a drastic spike up

 

[johnboyA6E]

here is florida