RadicalDude
Social Justice Warlord
Just wanted to update: was recently in Europe... didn’t appear to be under much duress.
Good article in today's Foreign Affairs about the success of recruiting to Finland's Armed Forces.
Polls are predicting a REMAIN victory but 5 districts have just reported: Newcastle was much closer than expected (was expected to go REMAIN) and Sunderland went big for LEAVE. The pound has started to drop. Will be long night watching the BBC....
Currently reporting turnout is very heavy (70%), especially in the de-industrialized areas home to many in the working class (think Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania). Looks like it is Scotland & London vs the remainder of England...
As Scotland is heavily REMAIN, if the UK votes to leave the EU, then Scotland will try again to break away from England.
Another vote today with the same result. One of member from Scotland certainly sounded like there might be a vote for Scottish Independence if there is a hard BREXIT, another member resigned from the Conservative Party on the House of Commons floor after the vote.
While everyone is watching Ukraine, keep an eye out for Belarus and the Suwalki Gap which connects Poland to Lithuania.The 21st Century Fulda Gap? The Suwalki Gap where Poland is the 64 mile wide NATO bridge to the Baltics - with Russian Kalingrad on one side and Belarus on the other has been in the news lately.
http://www.wsj.com/article_email/cl...t-russia-1466205268-lMyQjAxMTI2NDE0ODcxMzgwWj
Are you suggesting that Belarus is going to take military action against a NATO member nation?While everyone is watching Ukraine, keep an eye out for Belarus and the Suwalki Gap which connects Poland to Lithuania.
Are you suggesting that Belarus is going to take military action against a NATO member nation?
That’s the part that makes me scratch my head when people talk about this. Regardless of one’s opinion on Russia-Ukraine, it baffles me that folks think there’d be action against a NATO state. Article 5 basically directs WW3 at that point. I don’t think even Putin is that dumb.Are you suggesting that Belarus is going to take military action against a NATO member nation?
I dont think article 5 requires actual kinetic battle. Something like "come to the defense " of member nations . I believe it was a couple years ago that Brett expressed doubt America would go to war over a small Baltic member nation. That might be true if a response short of bombs and bullets can be credibly passed of as coming to the defense of another NATO member. We saw it in the NATO response in Afghanistan by some nations.That’s the part that makes me scratch my head when people talk about this. Regardless of one’s opinion on Russia-Ukraine, it baffles me that folks think there’d be action against a NATO state. Article 5 basically directs WW3 at that point. I don’t think even Putin is that dumb.