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Road to 350: What Does the US Navy Do Anyway?

Treetop Flyer

Well-Known Member
pilot
Didn't you mention that the Brits looked at converting their new carriers to a catapult and an angled deck - but came to the conclusion it was just too painful? Have you got any further details?

As Flash mentioned, we have to be careful about the presentation of the Navy as being built around a 10 (or 11 or 12) carrier fleet. Perhaps the Navy can better market it as a 10+10 fleet to emphasize both the CVN's and the big amphibs.
Well there will be two America class LHA's without well decks, so they could act as what you describe but with Marine F-35B's. The others too, but not as well with less gas and hangar space.
 

Uncle Fester

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RCD: Basic argument seems to be that the administration has already given up on a 355-ship fleet (the Too Hard and Low Money warning lights already lit up), but it's a mistake. The "presence" vs "capability" argument is heard a lot around OPNAV.

"The ships carrying out this presence mission must, of course, be capable of combat operations. This is the essence of conventional deterrence, in which would be disturbers of the peace are confronted with tough choices backed up by present, capable, combat power....Like its sister services, the Navy also has warfighting requirements generated by Combatant Commander generated numbered war plans. However, in the Navy’s case, these wartime requirements are separate and distinct from the considerable strategic, global, peacetime requirements it must fulfill. And while the sensors, systems, weapons, and networks that enable a fleet to harness its full power are critical when the shooting starts, far more important to the protection and sustainment of American security and prosperity in peacetime is being where the action is likely to be. This is now, and has always been, a function of numbers."


When It Comes to the Navy, Size Matters
 

UInavy

Registered User
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I'll go ahead and dredge up this dead thread- Hendrix is back at it: https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2018/03/29/a-balanced-defense/
Though I can follow the "capacity" versus "capability" thread (McNamara was doing this type of analysis 40 years ago), I'm not sure I follow the logic on how he ends up at his numbers. However, this is the least juvenile of his analyses I've read so far. "Unlimited capacity for improvement."
 

robav8r

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Contributor
you mean like with some of the OHP class? or Knox class?
Yeah, except the training, proficiency opportunities and material readiness chain were a bit different. I wonder how many technological changes, spiral development issues the KNOX and OHP class had to deal with versus the AB class? I hear there are several different bridge configuration, technology differences in the AB class - true?
 

Griz882

Frightening children with the Griz-O-Copter!
pilot
Contributor
you mean like with some of the OHP class? or Knox class?
I served on Knox class FFs. They simply weren’t built for that kind of extended service. I can’t even get my head around the requirements to update one considering what @robav8r calls spiral development in technology. Know’s were closer to her WWII DE forefathers than anything we would consider “modern.” I’m surprised they lasted 25 years in the fleet.
 

Randy Daytona

Cold War Relic
pilot
Super Moderator
Thought this was interesting. For those still manning the line, any thoughts?

Is Secretary of Defense Mattis planning radical changes to how the Navy deploys?

Experts contend that what Mattis is describing, a concept he’s labeled as “Dynamic Force Employment,” would necessarily create tension with the Navy’s current deployment model known as the Optimized Fleet Response Plan, an iteration of similar plans that have been in place since the Cold War.
https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2...ning-radical-changes-to-how-the-navy-deploys/

1525391398596.png

The aircraft carriers Ronald Reagan, Theodore Roosevelt and Nimitz and their strike groups underway in the western Pacific in 2017. Defense Secretary James Mattis wants to see this kind of thing more often, but to do it could fundamentally change the Navy. (James Griffin/Navy)
 

Uncle Fester

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Thought this was interesting. For those still manning the line, any thoughts?

Is Secretary of Defense Mattis planning radical changes to how the Navy deploys?

Experts contend that what Mattis is describing, a concept he’s labeled as “Dynamic Force Employment,” would necessarily create tension with the Navy’s current deployment model known as the Optimized Fleet Response Plan, an iteration of similar plans that have been in place since the Cold War.
https://www.defensenews.com/naval/2...ning-radical-changes-to-how-the-navy-deploys/

Maybe it's because I'm not a GO/FO, but while I understand the merits, I don't get how an 'unpredictable' deployment cycle is sustainable. As the linked article points out:
The key to (OFRP) working, however, is at least a degree of predictability. Shipyards need to know when they will have a ship and what the scope of the repair work will be so it can prepare in advance. School houses need to know when to convene classes. Commanding officers need to know that when they get ready for deployment, sailors with critical skills lost during a readiness dip will be replaced before the next cruise.

And I really don't follow this logic:
“You can bank readiness by decreasing forward presence,” (Mattis, I think; the article doesn't make it clear who it's quoting) said. “That is, if you have fewer forces forward deployed for the hell of it, you have more to push forward when you want them...In other words, its punishment rather than deterrence — you surge after the enemy has made its move. Whereas if you want to deter them — to convince the enemy that the success of their planned attack is dubious, you have to be there, and be there powerfully, and that means a carrier strike group forward.”

I just don't get how you 'bank' readiness. You can't work up a CVW or a CSG and then put it on the shelf until it's needed. You need long underway periods to get everyone fully ready to deploy. Underway periods need to be scheduled. That schedule determines all the other schedules (schools, yard periods, etc etc).

If we'll all recall, this is exactly how the original FRP - the one that quickly became a train wreck and got everyone into routine back-to-back and 10-month cruises - got started in the first place. We won't work up, deploy, come home, stand down...we'll work up and then only deploy if we need to. Which is fine if the world's quiet, but not when you have two land wars in Asia and China and Russia getting frisky. If the assets are available, COCOMs will ask for them. I know GEN Mattis, being a former, wartime CENTCOM, knows that, and I also know he's a very smart guy. Yet this model only seems sustainable if things settle down back to a 1990's style of things being generally quiet, punctuated by short crises or an ALLIED FORCE-style bombing campaign erupting now and then. So what is it that I'm not getting?
 

Brett327

Well-Known Member
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Super Moderator
Contributor
I know he’s in a different job now, but Mattis was one of the most insatiable COCOMs when it came to carrier presence in his AOR. I put this in the interesting idea, but not executable column.
 

Randy Daytona

Cold War Relic
pilot
Super Moderator
Maybe it's because I'm not a GO/FO, but while I understand the merits, I don't get how an 'unpredictable' deployment cycle is sustainable. As the linked article points out:


And I really don't follow this logic:


I just don't get how you 'bank' readiness. You can't work up a CVW or a CSG and then put it on the shelf until it's needed. You need long underway periods to get everyone fully ready to deploy. Underway periods need to be scheduled. That schedule determines all the other schedules (schools, yard periods, etc etc).

If we'll all recall, this is exactly how the original FRP - the one that quickly became a train wreck and got everyone into routine back-to-back and 10-month cruises - got started in the first place. We won't work up, deploy, come home, stand down...we'll work up and then only deploy if we need to. Which is fine if the world's quiet, but not when you have two land wars in Asia and China and Russia getting frisky. If the assets are available, COCOMs will ask for them. I know GEN Mattis, being a former, wartime CENTCOM, knows that, and I also know he's a very smart guy. Yet this model only seems sustainable if things settle down back to a 1990's style of things being generally quiet, punctuated by short crises or an ALLIED FORCE-style bombing campaign erupting now and then. So what is it that I'm not getting?

It reminded me somewhat of a decade old article from Proceedings entitled Buy Fords, Not Ferraris. I searched back and sure enough, that article was discussed previously here. https://www.airwarriors.com/community/index.php?threads/proceedings-buy-ford-not-ferrari.30478/

Interesting that at the same time, this came out.

US Navy re-establishes Second Fleet amid Russia tensions

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/worl...-second-fleet-amid-russia-tensions/ar-AAwLz9g
 

Hair Warrior

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Contributor
Here’s a model: 12x CVNs. Each CSG does 120 days at sea followed by 245 days in port for repair, refit, workup. Of those 120 days at sea, up to 30 are in transit. Each month you put a different CSG to sea, and bring another one back to homeport. So in total, you have minimum 3x CSGs in theater at any given time, with a couple others in transit. Once a month, SECDEF would potentially have the flexibility to have 5x CSGs at sea as they are crossing paths (1 outbound, 1 inbound, and 3 on station) which gives SECDEF options for how and where to send them. Sailors have a 120:245 ratio of sea to homeport annually, giving time for training, family, etc.

Thoughts?
 
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