VFA has always had an 8 year commitment and VFA JOs still bail in droves at the 8 year point. I don’t think it will be any different for any of the other communities.
To those who say that DH tours arent that bad and that they enjoyed their DH experience: Apparently there is a difference between a VFA DH tour and any other community’s DH tour. If VFA DH tours were that enjoyable, people would not be getting out and our bonus would not be $25,000. From what I have seen, VFA DH tour = the suck.
I suspect that the relatively small number of aviators per squadron has a big part to play, but this isn't anything new. Moreover, this would seem to have the greatest impact on the JOs, as I imagine the number of DHs is more inline with other T/M/S - at least in the TACAIR realm. What's the standard number of DH per VFA squadron? I know the VFA folks typically have an LDO type as AO (a double edged sword from the Admin LDOs I've seen). At any rate, if VFA DH is so bad, it would seem like the time when people bailed would be after their DH tours, not before. It's difficult to buy the notion that JOs in a squadron observe the DH pain in progress, then carry that memory through 2 additional tours. This begs the question: Perhaps it's the first tour VFA JO experience that's making people opt out of DH and not the DH tour itself. If that's the case (big hypothetical, of course), how are the VFA DH and above ill-serving their JOs to poison their potential for retention?
Food for thought,
Brett