spend less on the F-22. So maybe with crew you won't get a 4 to 1 ratio, but you'd probably still end up in a something like a 3 to 1.
Here is what I think:
The AF give up one of their new gold plated toys? Not happening. Though from the Va ANG guys who I know that are flying that airplane they say once the kinks are worked out it's going to be a great airplane, one that is much more capable than any other fighter we have in the inventory. This is coming from guys with 2k-3k hours in a Viper and then transitioning. So some guys have lost an engagement or two. I have also talked to the guys going up against it, they say that 99.99% of the time you die before you even knew they were there. I am pretty confident that you can't do that in a Viper/Rhino/Eagle with that amount of consistency. The numbers are near the same in the proverbial furball as well. I know that the Eagle/Viper/Hornet/Rhino probably didn't do that well at first.
So, is the Raptor the next step in fighter airplane technology? Yes. Is it invincible? No, if you can see it you can shoot it. However, the stealth helps that, and WVR, the thrust vector and agility that very large airplane is pretty impressive. Plus, it's a new airplane, the tactics are still being developed both ways; as we develop tactics to counter the airplane we will see more losses,. I think that's good. We don't want people going to war thinking that they're invincible.
So I think it's a good investment. We don't need 20 Squadrons of Raptors, but we need some nonetheless.