I want to make sure we are on the same sheet of music, what is your concern about not getting past 16 years? What Fester and I are talking about is getting 16 years of actual active duty time, that is where the waiver comes in so they can track folks nearing 'sanctuary' for an active duty retirement and not reserve retirement.
With your prior active duty time you should be able to make 20 years in the reserves and get retirement even if you don't get promoted to LCDR, you just need to make sure you get 7 good years and make LT and you'll make 20 pretty very easily with time to spare. You are one of the few in that position, an enviable one in the competitive 1835 community.
@Flash,
Sorry if I wasn't clear - I know I'm good to go as far as qualifying for reserve retirement with no major issues, I actually technically already have 14 "good years" based on my anniversary, I was just trying to figure out how much additional time I'd be able to spend on ADSW, mobilizations, etc before the Navy cut me off. And that guy's experience in Stuttgart sounds about right, the unit he was likely supporting is absolutely brutal with their augmentees.