Europe under extreme duress

[cfam]

I agree. I don’t see any chance of a government forming between CDU and the Greens, I can easily imagine a government formed with SPD, but it won’t last long. If AfD lands above 20% they will have a significant say in government operations.

Honestly, I think you’d be surprised. Despite the greens having some appropriately green/left positions, they’ve moved rightwards on several issues that matter to the CDU, namely defense and support for Ukraine, and (to a certain extent) migration. I agree on the potential longevity of a CDU/SPD coalition. Merz and Scholz really don’t like each other, so that coalition would begin at odds.

 

[cfam]

Honestly, I think you’d be surprised. Despite the greens having some appropriately green/left positions, they’ve moved rightwards on several issues that matter to the CDU, namely defense and support for Ukraine, and (to a certain extent) migration. I agree on the potential longevity of a CDU/SPD coalition. Merz and Scholz really don’t like each other, so that coalition would begin at odds.

My hot takes are being overcome by the polls though. The trends with the latest release are showing CDU/SDP as the only way for a non-AFD coalition majority (assuming BSW doesn’t make it in), otherwise there will have to be a three part coalition.

 

[Griz882]

My hot takes are being overcome by the polls though. The trends with the latest release are showing CDU/SDP as the only way for a non-AFD coalition majority (assuming BSW doesn’t make it in), otherwise there will have to be a three part coalition.

This one looks to come down to the wire.

 

[Griz882]

In a bit of a surprise, the leader of the Bavaria-only Christian Social Union (CSU) side of the CDU/CSU, says his party won’t support a coalition that includes the Greens party.