You bring up a lot of good points. I'm not denying that COPT-R presents a lot of challenges, many of which we can't fully predict right now. Any new program always does.
The bottom line is that while it's not perfect, COPT-R is the only solution we have right now to take some of the load off the T-6. The problem's gotten big enough that ignoring it isn't an option anymore. Believe it or not, nothing is being said on here that wasn't said in the N7 office at CNATRA when we were discussing COPT-R. To paraphrase Winston Churchill, "[COPT-R] is the worst [solution] except for all those other [solutions]..."
Like I said before, if someone on here has a better solution I know for a fact that CNATRA and CNAF would really appreciate your input.
I think the frustration, as someone on the other end of the training continuum, is the vibe (whether its accurate or not) that CNATRA is cranking out winged aviators and kicking the can down to the fleet to fix inexperienced or subpar pilots. If this program sucks, the consequences won't be felt by CNATRA directly and won't truly pop up for a couple years. I would argue the tell is not an advanced NSS or getting to wings, but farther success in the form of advanced qualifications and time to train in the fleet. For me, someone being a good helicopter pilot is the bare minimum for entry because I need them to do that while also being a FAC(A) or AMC.
As someone who now is only required to have a 120 knot mind, I think there was tremendous value in my fixed wing time. I went into primary wanting RW and selected RW, but if I were a 2ndLt today I would NOT do COPT-R and I would not advise an SNA to pursue it.
20 hours for someone who graduates flight training with ~200-ish hours I would argue is also significant. That's 10-15 (whatever, I can't remember how long a T-6 sortie was) reps of going through all of the communications and mechanics of getting out to the training area and doing the thing for someone who has almost no flight hours. It's not nothing. 20 hours in a fleet aircraft is also significantly more expensive in an environment with different resource constraints than flight school....it's not as simple as saying "that's a month!"
Like, I get it, I am the product of a syllabus that was designed to generate a minimum viable product of competence to progress through the FRS and the fleet (as we all are!). If we had all the time and money in the world, it'd be great for RW SNAs to get like 300 hours before wings, but that is just not realistic. Call me an old lady yelling at clouds if you want because I don't have a good solution either beyond waving a magic wand to fix T-6 production issues, I just am skeptical.