In this situation- wondering what action could be taken?
I’m not going to jump back in on the questions you’ve posed here or, more often, how you’ve posed them- think that horse has been beat pretty good. I’d offer a couple points here, just my two cents, take em or leave them.
- the links you’ve shared thus far are comprised of sources that may give you a sense of what has happened or what is happening (Wikipedia and the State Dept website). If you want a sense of what could happen or how things might shake out, you have to seek out things that will offer that perspective. A lot of bright and experienced folks on here have offered up some great ideas- I plan on checking out a few I hadn’t heard of that cover areas I’m not too familiar with, and am grateful for folks who’ve taken the time to share them.
- second, and if I’m overstepping here, I’m sorry, but hopefully you appreciate its coming from a good place, but an attitude appreciated here and most other places is an open mindedness, appreciation for the perspectives of others, especially when informed by direct experience, etc.
I haven’t seen any of that out of you thus far, and perhaps you feel like you haven’t gotten that courtesy in return. Fair enough. But if the first part of my completely unsolicited advice is to broaden your inputs, the second part of my completely unsolicited advice would be to check your ego and your assumptions when you’re taking on new viewpoints. I say that from my own academic background- best advice I ever got from any number of history professors was not to come to a conclusion and then seek out data or perspectives that support it; instead seek out the latter to inform the former. Turns out that’s pretty important outside academia, now more than ever.
/end completely unsolicited advice. To answer your question, a lot of folks have posted some good resources that offer up a spectrum of possible COAs and how they might play out.