DanMav1156 said:
Well I guess what I was looking for was similar to what HAL wrote... Where is the airline industry headed in your guys' opinions? Is it the "Jet Blue" non-union model that is going to be the future (even though they just posted their first qtrly loss)?
Are RJ's the wave of the future or massive aircraft like the new Airbus or Boeing?
Anything really, I'm just interested in the subject, airlines are a very difficult business model to run but enjoyable to study...
If there is a change, it will probably be toward more unionization. The biggest non-union regional, Sky West, is pretty close to unionizing. There are very few non-union pilot or airline employee groups out there. After the recent round of bankruptcies and the shafting employees took, I think there will be even less. The unionized groups had a say in the process. While unable to stop the rapes, they at least got some lube when compared to the non-union groups.
Jet Blue pilots work for low wages compared to others flying the same equipment. Their work rules and pay are set by management. If management starts eroding these as they lose money, that will probably lead to unionization there. Many mainline (major) pilots are already upset that Jet Blue is not unionized. When Jet Blue management set the pay rates for the E-190 aircraft they are getting, they were set at regional pay levels. The pilots could do nothing about it since management did not have to agree to a contract with the non-existent union.
As far as RJs, what is an RJ? Many will say the newer 90 seat jets (like the E-190) are really mainline aircraft. They are replacements for DC-9s and earlier (smaller) 737s carrying similar numbers of seats. Even the 70 seat RJs are considered mainline by some as they replaced the Fokkers at AA and US Airways.
35 & 50 seat RJs are very expensive aircraft to operate for the revenue they bring in. The only way they make money is because major airlines pay the regionals on a "fee for departure" basis. Whether the plane is empty or full, the regional get the same money and its a guaranteed profit. 70 seat RJs are more economical but not by much. It isn't until you get to the 90 seat E-190 type that they become economical. This is why Independence Air failed. They had no contracts to feed majors.
The massive aircraft like the 747 & A-380 are for heavily traveled markets. Very economical to operate if you have the customer base traveling the route to keep the load factor up. You need a mix of sizes. The new 787 carries about the same number of pax as the 767.