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22MAY2023 SNA/SNFO Board

gtownjake

gtownjake

Well-Known Member
Under one month to get those apps in! Nerves are high so I figured I'd make a post to see how everyone else is doing.

Excel sheet averages seem to be hanging around the 57 7/7/7 mark (as expected). Appears to be a decently competitive group with some high scorers out there.

Around 24% have flight experience.
GPA Average around 3.5.
Around 23% are submitting again after a previous submission.

It helps me to see this data and visualize the playing field so to speak. I don't mean to repeat any information that can easily be found on the sheet, but I figured I'd point it out to prompt discussion. Eases some nerves and satisfies some of the waiting. Feel free to reply with your current position in the process, or speak about anything you have noticed.

Edit: For those of you that have experience with the excel sheet and previous boards (ie Oct '22 and May '22), is anything noticably different with the group of applicants? Is this a normal amount to see on the sheet for this board?
 
BB Poison

BB Poison

Well-Known Member
Contributor
E

exNavyOffRec

Well-Known Member
jacobserrioz said:
Under one month to get those apps in! Nerves are high so I figured I'd make a post to see how everyone else is doing.

Excel sheet averages seem to be hanging around the 57 7/7/7 mark (as expected). Appears to be a decently competitive group with some high scorers out there.

Around 24% have flight experience.
GPA Average around 3.5.
Around 23% are submitting again after a previous submission.

It helps me to see this data and visualize the playing field so to speak. I don't mean to repeat any information that can easily be found on the sheet, but I figured I'd point it out to prompt discussion. Eases some nerves and satisfies some of the waiting. Feel free to reply with your current position in the process, or speak about anything you have noticed.

Edit: For those of you that have experience with the excel sheet and previous boards (ie Oct '22 and May '22), is anything noticably different with the group of applicants? Is this a normal amount to see on the sheet for this board?
Click to expand...
Just realize that while the historical data is linked below that anything from the boards in 2022 to now is not normal so it will be difficult to gauge yourself based on the data seen, as they get back to those getting selected and shipping about 6 months later then it will be easier to do that comparison.
BB Poison said:
No, yes. Someone posted the spreadsheets for past boards if you want to compare yourself: https://www.airwarriors.com/community/threads/sna-snfo-historical-board-data-2020-present.48993/
Click to expand...
 
cjwinton01

cjwinton01

SNA Pro-Rec Y
jacobserrioz said:
Under one month to get those apps in! Nerves are high so I figured I'd make a post to see how everyone else is doing.

Excel sheet averages seem to be hanging around the 57 7/7/7 mark (as expected). Appears to be a decently competitive group with some high scorers out there.

Around 24% have flight experience.
GPA Average around 3.5.
Around 23% are submitting again after a previous submission.

It helps me to see this data and visualize the playing field so to speak. I don't mean to repeat any information that can easily be found on the sheet, but I figured I'd point it out to prompt discussion. Eases some nerves and satisfies some of the waiting. Feel free to reply with your current position in the process, or speak about anything you have noticed.

Edit: For those of you that have experience with the excel sheet and previous boards (ie Oct '22 and May '22), is anything noticably different with the group of applicants? Is this a normal amount to see on the sheet for this board?
Click to expand...
that’s not making me feel great haha
 
elariosa95

elariosa95

SNA (Primary - VT-6)
jacobserrioz said:
Edit: For those of you that have experience with the excel sheet and previous boards (ie Oct '22 and May '22), is anything noticably different with the group of applicants? Is this a normal amount to see on the sheet for this board?
Click to expand...
exNavyOffRec said:
Just realize that while the historical data is linked below that anything from the boards in 2022 to now is not normal so it will be difficult to gauge yourself based on the data seen, as they get back to those getting selected and shipping about 6 months later then it will be easier to do that comparison.
Click to expand...
Like @exNavyOffRec said, these last few boards have been anything but normal. There have been attempts to predict selection probability based on past data (see this post), but I doubt that ML model could've predicted a 20% overall selection rate in October. I was lucky and am incredibly thankful to have been selected on that board, but it easily could've gone the other direction in favor of someone with a better PFAR and some other factor.

That being said, it's all up to Big Navy and what they need. The rule of thumb is and has always been "higher scores = higher chance of selection." I doubt that will change anytime soon.
 
gtownjake

gtownjake

Well-Known Member
elariosa95 said:
Like @exNavyOffRec said, these last few boards have been anything but normal. There have been attempts to predict selection probability based on past data (see this post), but I doubt that ML model could've predicted a 20% overall selection rate in October. I was lucky and am incredibly thankful to have been selected on that board, but it easily could've gone the other direction in favor of someone with a better PFAR and some other factor.

That being said, it's all up to Big Navy and what they need. The rule of thumb is and has always been "higher scores = higher chance of selection." I doubt that will change anytime soon.
Click to expand...
Great point, we are in a huge “wait and see” era. But then again it seems as if this era has been what makes Naval Aviation so desirable if that makes sense. Makes you wonder how many people fell victim to low selection that would make great aviators and vice versa.
 
C

cgoodwin

Member
Just talked to my recruiter, he is not optimistic about this board happening at all. He said as of now they do not have any more quotas for aviation.
 
A

Anthony2000

PRO-REC Y SNA
cgoodwin said:
Just talked to my recruiter, he is not optimistic about this board happening at all. He said as of now they do not have any more quotas for aviation.
Click to expand...

There’s some NFO spots still available, and a few SNA I believe. According to the dashboard. Also it’s hard to tell what’s actually available. My recruiter told me some people have been switching designations, dropping themselves, failing PRTs.
 
C

cgoodwin

Member
Anthony2000 said:
There’s some NFO spots still available, and a few SNA I believe. According to the dashboard. Also it’s hard to tell what’s actually available. My recruiter told me some people have been switching designations, dropping themselves, failing PRTs.
Click to expand...
I'm just hoping the board happens. Sounds like even those who get selected are still at least a year out from classing up at OCS.
 
A

Anthony2000

PRO-REC Y SNA
cgoodwin said:
I'm just hoping the board happens. Sounds like even those who get selected are still at least a year out from classing up at OCS.
Click to expand...

Good news is that the longer we wait the closer the report days are after getting selected. A lot can happen in a year and a half of waiting.
 
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