COVID-19

[snake020]

Another article predicting that lockdowns wouldn’t work. This dude is very smart and has been right about a lot of what’s happened thus far.

Redirect Notice

Not sure why you guys keep citing this jackass. In March he downplayed the severity of this saying "we're going to be fine" and "the real situation is not nearly as terrible as they make it out to be." Nearly 150k deaths in America later, he sounds just as much of a shill as the anti-vaxxers.

 

[SlickAg]

There was a news article about a study that was showing that the lockdowns really only prevented the hospitals from being over whelmed with COVID patients and that infections and death were just spread out over a longer period of time, I am still trying to find it as I closed the wrong tab, some people here may have better Google skills than I do, the study did have some controversy which is pretty much like most COVID studies right now.

That was the whole plan back in March, remember? “Two weeks to flatten the curve!” We were going to not overwhelm the hospitals. That worked out well for us. Hospitals didn’t get overwhelmed, now we’re just all in this suspended state of animation hoping to not get locked down again while we wait for a vaccine. Just search for goalposts on here, as in “moving the goalposts”, and you’ll probably see all the discussion.

Rather than locking everyone down, I think it’s smarter to target high-risk populations and then have everyone else smartly go about their business.

 

[SlickAg]

Not sure why you guys keep citing this jackass. In March he downplayed the severity of this saying "we're going to be fine" and "the real situation is not nearly as terrible as they make it out to be." Nearly 150k deaths in America later, he sounds just as much of a shill as the anti-vaxxers.

Yeah, also remember back in March (April?) when the surgeon general and Dr. Fauci told us not to wear masks if we weren’t sick because healthy people wearing masks doesn’t do any good? Are they shills too?

Anyway, on March 25th that “jackass” actually predicted ~264,000 US deaths. So yeah, compared to Neil Ferguson’s model predicting 2.2 million deaths...I guess maybe he didn’t think it would be as terrible as that dude’s models predicted.

5.a. How accurate are the number of UK and US Deaths Predicted by Ferguson et al 2020_by_Michael_Levitt-v2.pdf

Shared with Dropbox

www.dropbox.com

 

[HAL Pilot]

Yup....mask make a difference....

 

[wiseguy04]

 

[taxi1]

View attachment 26935

I wonder if that cartoon was done by someone who works in a grocery store or quickmart. I doubt it.

My wife went to Walmart the other day, after they had started up the mandatory mask rule. They have an older gentleman working at the door to remind people to put on a mask. Along comes Mr. Pennsylvania with wife and kid, sans masks. Door person says, “Sir, we require masks now.”

Guy turns and gives him the fuck you double finger and goes on in. My wife asks the checkout person why they didn’t do something, she shook her head and said management says they’re not allowed to do anything.

We are averaging 7-8 new tested cases in our county per day, so figuring there are probably 10 times that, that are not tested, half of them asymptomatic but contagious? Everyone goes to the local grocery store, Sheetz or Dunkin Donuts, etc.

Asymptomatic, contagious carriers are going into these stores in town daily. Not all are wearing masks. They’re putting the workers in there at risk. The workers know it too.

 

[wink]

I still have not seen numbers for grocery store workers. Most didn't go to masks until recently. They were open thru the close down, masks. We know about health care infections and deaths. It would be helpful to take a population with pretty much the second worse case of exposure and see how they have managed. My guess is rates of infection are not much different than the public at large, or we would be hearing it.

 

[taxi1]

I still have not seen numbers for grocery store workers...

...we would be hearing it.

Quick google...of course there is an industry newsletter for supermarkets, The Supermarket News. I bet you it is some fun reading.
https://www.supermarketnews.com/iss...inues-face-masks-and-bonus-pay-are-hot-topics

Things I didn't really pay attention to:

• In a lot of places, grocery store workers are getting hazardous duty pay to compensate for the increased risk
• Krogers Grocery Store is making available emergency home COVID-19 test kits for their workers

https://www.supermarketnews.com/hea...-home-covid-19-test-kits-available-associates

 

[Spekkio]

Not sure why you guys keep citing this jackass. In March he downplayed the severity of this saying "we're going to be fine" and "the real situation is not nearly as terrible as they make it out to be." Nearly 150k deaths in America later, he sounds just as much of a shill as the anti-vaxxers.

To some people, a 99.96% population wide survival rate (and 99.90% predicted) constitutes 'fine' and 'not as terrible as they make it out to be.'

 

[Gonzo08]

Yeah, also remember back in March (April?) when the surgeon general and Dr. Fauci told us not to wear masks if we weren’t sick because healthy people wearing masks doesn’t do any good?

I don't understand why people keep using this argument. Dr. Fauci has clarified his position multiple times, even as recently as last week.

"I don't regret anything I said then because in the context of the time in which I said it, it was correct. We were told in our task force meetings that we have a serious problem with the lack of PPEs and masks for the health providers who are putting themselves in harm's way every day to take care of sick people," Fauci told O'Donnell.

"When it became clear that we could get the infection could be spread by asymptomatic carriers who don't know they're infected, that made it very clear that we had to strongly recommend masks," he said.

"And also, it soon became clear that we had enough protective equipment and that cloth masks and homemade masks were as good as masks that you would buy from surgical supply stores," Fauci added. "So in the context of when we were not strongly recommending it, it was the correct thing."

 

[nittany03]

I don't understand why people keep using this argument. Dr. Fauci has clarified his position multiple times, even as recently as last week.

It's as if, when we're faced with a virus that literally no one has ever seen before, you have to stake out a position and never change it, even if you learn something new about it that contradicts what you thought. Because anyone who learns new things and then changes their mind is just a wishy-washy flip-flopper, you know. Totally not credible.

 

[SlickAg]

I don't understand why people keep using this argument. Dr. Fauci has clarified his position multiple times, even as recently as last week.

I was using that argument in concert with Dr. Fauci's point. In March, most of the educated guesses scientists were making were based on a few data sets, namely information disseminated by China and the Diamond Princess. As our knowledge of the virus changes, so must our response. I mean if we want to go back and look through past posts on here making predictions, I'm all for it. Lots of conjecture about how were only two weeks away from turning into another Italy, etc etc.

@snake020 was using an article from March 23rd in making his argument that Dr. Levitt is a "jackass". Ironic that on March 25th he published a paper that used information from the Diamond Princess to pretty accurately forecast US deaths. His guess also turned out to be MUCH more accurate than Dr. Neil Ferguson's model that was used to justify going into lockdown mode.

 

[SlickAg]

It's as if, when we're faced with a virus that literally no one has ever seen before, you have to stake out a position and never change it, even if you learn something new about it that contradicts what you thought. Because anyone who learns new things and then changes their mind is just a wishy-washy flip-flopper, you know. Totally not credible.

There's a difference in the messaging of "masks may work for the general public but we're asking you to refrain from using them to ensure that our front-line medical personnel can be protected" and "healthy people don't need to wear masks". The American public doesn't like being lied to.

Also, isn't it crazy that some people have some sort of T-cell immunity from this virus that literally no one has ever seen before? It's almost as if it shares similarities with other coronaviruses...like the original SARS? Funny that they named this one severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). As in, the second one after the original one. And yes, I realize that they're two different viruses. However, since they are genetically related, wouldn't it make sense that they share some similarities?

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)

There is no cure or vaccine for SARS and treatment should be supportive and based on the patient’s symptoms.

www.who.int

 

[SlickAg]

Yup....mask make a difference....

View attachment 26934

I like that he used the excuse that he had tested negative the day before, and that he was taking a drink of water. So does that mean that if I get tested I'm immune from the mask requirement? Passengers turned in Ted Cruz for not wearing his mask on a plane while drinking a cup of coffee (that he was actually holding in his hand), so using the same criteria Dr. Fauci is clearly guilty of the same "crime".

Not surprising that everyone leaps to his defense here. I don't really care but I find it interesting that no one expects him to lead by example.

 

[exNavyOffRec]

I don't understand why people keep using this argument. Dr. Fauci has clarified his position multiple times, even as recently as last week.

They continue to talk about wearing a mask to protect others and they do tests to prove the point, what is heard very little is how the mask should be made to really provide a good level of protection (the surgeon generals video of him making a mask is rarely seen on TV now), the mask used in the test are ones constructed in a way that should provide decent protection, that is not the case when you look at how people are making mask at home.